Scott Fish Bowl 16 Rankings

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Scott Fish Bowl 16 scoring has arrived! I’m lucky enough to get to play for the first time this year – here’s how I’ll be approaching it.

Some key differences from your home league:

Starting Lineup

Your starting lineup will consist of 2 superflex and 8 flex spots. Superflex spots should be used on QBs, so you will start 2 QBs and 8 RB/WR/TEs (Non-QBs). In your draft, you should treat QBs and Non-QBs as the two distinct, separate classes of assets.

The key to a successful superflex draft is closely monitoring the state of the QB position. Draft rooms will handle the position differently, some will largely wait while others will create a frenzy in the first 2 rounds. Utilizing tier-based rankings make this process much easier, allowing you to see where the drop offs in the position are throughout the draft. This positions you to extract value and avoid moving in too early, or too late.

Meanwhile, drafting Non-QBs is relatively straightforward. With no need to worry about getting enough RBs or WRs, you can simply draft the player you like most each time, regardless of position.

TE Premium

While RBs and WRs receive 0.5 points per reception and first down, TEs receive 1.5. Tight Ends should go earlier than you are used to seeing, but once again, don’t overreact. Trey McBride and Brock Bowers are my 11^th and 13^th projected non-QBs. However, the middle class of TEs beyond these 2 are pushed up much higher in rankings than they would be in standard leagues (Ex. Sam LaPorta is Non-QB38, Kyle Pitts Non-QB41).

Bonuses – The key to SFB16

Each position has access to 10-point bonuses, for both large games and large plays. The easiest of these bonuses to hit is the 20+ yard receiving play. Using 2024 and 2025 data, on average, each position reaches this bonus at the following rates per reception:

RB	6.93%
WR	18.83%
TE	12.03%

Comparatively, 0.46% of rush attempts and 1.35% of pass attempts reach 40+ yards, the amount needed to access those bonuses. Some players, such as Jahymr Gibbs, are more likely to break a long play, and this is accounted for in my projections. However, long receptions are still far more likely.

Below are the total number of points projected to be scored from each bonus:

20+ Yard Reception	17,428.68
40+ Yard Rush	725.81
40+ Yard Pass	2,616.50
100+ Rush and Receiving Yards	3,949.04
200+ Rush and Receiving Yards	327.17
300+ Passing Yards	784.78
400+ Passing Yards	40.22

My Projections

My rankings pull from Mike Clay’s projections for the 2026 season along with explosive play and other data from nfl.com and FantasyPros.

Bonuses are calculated using a players explosive play rates over the past 2 seasons when applicable. For rookies, average rates were applied. Please note: For some sophomore year players, I used average rates rather than their 2025 rates when it felt more appropriate for their skillset. (Ex. TreVeyon Henderson had zero receptions of 20+ yards last year), but using the average rate of 6.93% is likely closer to the truth).

The largest adjustment to make from our normal drafts is to drill home that big play WRs are king. Alec Pierce is ranked as my Non-QB22, Jameson Williams as Non-QB33. Pierce may be over-projected given that his explosive-play rate may fall as he becomes more of a focal point of the offense, but regardless, he is built for this format.

The rankings below are not meant to be a hard and fast guide to SFB16 but are useful in reframing how to generally think about players in a new scoring format. In a tournament of this size, upside past these projections is an important consideration. A more detailed breakdown, including how total points were calculated, can be found in the excel file attached. VORP was calculated as the difference in points vs the QB24 or Non-QB96.

SFB16 Rankings.xlsx

Download XLSX • 323KB